How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

€ 1,1K

At least 3: 26%

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

€ 872,5

Before Mar 1, 2027: 41%

KALSHI

When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?

€ 524,1

Before September: 6%

KALSHI

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

€ 219,1

Ja: 13%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?

€ 219,1

Ja: 21.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

€ 145,5

Ja: 72.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026