Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.5%
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40
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd12 jun 24, 18:54 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Alecto the Ninth come out before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will AI write a widely read version of The Winds of Winter - GOT Book 6?
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KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
It will be resolved yes if the official publication launch date is before 2030, and if it is also actually being sold in at least some bookstores before 2030.