Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 62.7%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd3 dec 23, 21:11 UTC1 jan 41, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity returns to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Winds of Winter be released?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 342,8K
- 24u volume
- € 91,2K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,4K
- 24u volume
- € 90,8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 264,6K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 84,3K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? afgewikkeld?
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2041 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.