Zullen we vóór 2027 te weten komen dat de val van Maduro een interne staatsgreep was met Amerikaanse hulp?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffGeopolitiekLatijns-Amerika2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.7%
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jan 26, 11:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?
Manifold MarketsWill Colombia declare a state of internal commotion in 2026?
FutuurHow many ‘Core #1’ convicts from Brazil’s coup plot trial will lose military ranks in 2026?
FutuurNicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
PolymarketMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
