Will Washington Initiative IP26-645 (income tax repeal and prohibition) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing23dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 46 minuten geleden
Vertraagd6 okt 26, 06:54 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Washington Initiative IL26-001 (restoring 2024 parents' rights law) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington Initiative IL26-638 (girls' sports eligibility by sex) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Amendment 87 (graduated income tax) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 3 (extending high-income tax rates) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
KalshiWill the US top marginal income tax rate exceed 37% for tax year 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This market resolves YES if Washington Initiative IP26-645 (Initiative Measure No. IP26-645 concerns state and local taxes.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure, provided votes on it equal ≥1/3 of all votes cast at the election (Wash.
- II §1(d)); effective 30th day after election (2026-12-03).
- Votes cast on the measure must equal at least one-third of total votes cast at the election (Wash.
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
