Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd11 mei 26, 19:04 UTC20 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWill the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate win any state trump won by 10% or more in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWill a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Outcome verified from https://www.congress.gov
- [link preview]
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? afgewikkeld?
- Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? wordt naar verwachting op 20 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Outcome verified from https://www.congress.gov