Will Ukraine cede land to russia?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffRusland / OekraïneGeopolitiekPolitiek2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 50%
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49
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
19 dec 25, 04:47 UTC31 dec 26, 05:02 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine cedes control of any territory to Russia through a peace agreement , or other official arrangement..
- Resolves NO if Ukraine maintains its position of not ceding territory as part of any peace effort.
- ❗️Ukraine does not have to formally recognise the land as russian, just so long as they give it up for now as part of a peace deal ❗
- Ongoing peace negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and European officials have made progress on security guarantees but left significant gaps on territorial control.
- Putin has demanded that Ukraine surrender territory for the war to end, while Zelenskyy to date has refused to cede any land.