Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 58.9%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd10 nov 24, 07:37 UTC22 jan 29, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
KalshiHow many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/6 - 9/12)
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegels
A national concealed-carry reciprocity law would allow people with concealed-carry permits—legal permission to carry a hidden firearm—from one state to carry their firearms in any other state that permits concealed carry.
- Currently, each state has its own rules for issuing concealed-carry permits and deciding which other states’ permits it will recognize, meaning a permit holder can legally carry in some states but not in others.
- A national reciprocity law would standardize this across state lines, similar to how a driver’s license is recognized nationwide.
- Trump has promised to make concealed-carry reciprocity a priority for his second term, although he also promised this in his first term.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 59% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? wordt naar verwachting op 22 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A national concealed-carry reciprocity law would allow people with concealed-carry permits—legal permission to carry a hidden firearm—from one state to carry their firearms in any other state that permits concealed carry.