Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 66.3%
Voorspellers
14
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd14 mrt 26, 07:32 UTC1 feb 28, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
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KalshiWhich party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,8 mln.
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 598,4K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 425,6K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,8 mln.
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 66% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.