Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.5%
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Verouderd5 sep 25, 21:57 UTC20 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?
Manifold MarketsWill transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump ban or significantly limit Prozac?
Manifold MarketsWill it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
- This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
- Ban must target trans or lgbt people.
- A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
- A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would resolve NO.
- If trans people can still buy guns by dressing differently resolves NO.
