Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.1%
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jun 26, 12:12 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhat year will Kim Jong-Un cease being Supreme Leader of North Korea?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person anywhere at any point in 2026 (on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Qualifying Meeting: The meeting must be in-person and face-to-face.
- Bilateral virtual meetings, phone calls, or video conferences do not qualify.
- Verification: The meeting must be confirmed by official state channels (such as the White House or the Iranian government) or reported by credible, mainstream international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, Bloomberg).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? · Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
