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Nee 95.8%
Voorspellers
52
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd9 nov 24, 10:07 UTC17 nov 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
LimitlessWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification:
- Market resolves YES if Tim Walz makes a credible declaration to run for President in 2028
- He only needs to show measurable signs of being serious about running
- He does NOT need to win the Democratic nomination
- Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Formal announcement + credible attempt at raising funds would very likely be sufficient for YES resolution.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 17 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification: