Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 67.9%
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd16 feb 25, 23:23 UTC20 jan 30, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will this question get 100k traders before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
Manifold MarketsWill this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRegels
Background Manifold prediction markets vary widely in trader participation, with factors like topic relevance, market duration, and visibility influencing engagement.
- Markets about meta-predictions (predictions about the market itself) can create interesting feedback loops where trader behavior directly influences the outcome.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the total number of unique traders who have placed at least one trade on this market exceeds 999.5 by January 1, 2030 at 12:00 AM UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- The number of traders can be verified through Manifold's public API and market statistics.
- Considerations
