Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 03:09 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 76.1%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd18 nov 25, 00:42 UTC31 dec 30, 15:26 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Universal Pictures officially announces a third theatrical film in the Wicked movie franchise.
- The announcement must come from Universal Pictures or a major entertainment news outlet (Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter, or similar) confirming that a "Wicked 3" or equivalent third installment is in development or greenlit for theatrical release.
- This market resolves NO if: (1) Universal does not announce a third film by December 31, 2030, or (2) Universal explicitly states the franchise will conclude with two films, or (3) any announced third installment is cancelled before theatrical release.
- The Wicked film adaptation is structured as a two-part film that tells the story of Elphaba and Glinda's friendship and rivalry in the Land of Oz before and after the arrival of Dorothy Gale from Kansas.
- Wicked: For Good is scheduled to be released on November 21, 2025.