Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 76.7%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd18 nov 25, 00:42 UTC31 dec 30, 15:26 UTC
Trends
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Universal Pictures officially announces a third theatrical film in the Wicked movie franchise.
- The announcement must come from Universal Pictures or a major entertainment news outlet (Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter, or similar) confirming that a "Wicked 3" or equivalent third installment is in development or greenlit for theatrical release.
- This market resolves NO if: (1) Universal does not announce a third film by December 31, 2030, or (2) Universal explicitly states the franchise will conclude with two films, or (3) any announced third installment is cancelled before theatrical release.
- The Wicked film adaptation is structured as a two-part film that tells the story of Elphaba and Glinda's friendship and rivalry in the Land of Oz before and after the arrival of Dorothy Gale from Kansas.
- Wicked: For Good is scheduled to be released on November 21, 2025.
Open markten
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 319,8K
- 24u volume
- € 98K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,6K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4 mln.
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
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- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 77% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria