Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.2%
Voorspellers
48
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd28 aug 23, 00:00 UTC1 jan 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,100,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExRegels
Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s:
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/property/article-12446057/Why-house-prices-set-soar-two-years-CRASH-claims-expert-accurately-predicted-property-market-collapse-2008-1990s.html
- He's currently predicting we'll see a major real estate crash in 2026.
- This market resolves YES if three conditions are held:
- Real estate prices peak in 2026
- Real estate prices at the end of 2026 are below the peak
Open markten
Macro & Economy
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+2.0pt8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 36,2K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+7.0pt59%
- Above $4.80+11.0pt45%
- Above $5.00+5.0pt35%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+1.1pt52%
- 8,200 or above+6.5pt28%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1 mln.
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-3.0pt84%
- No16%
- Totaal volume
- € 919,2K
- 24u volume
- € 8,7K
KALSHIUS SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- Above 280M91%
- Above 281M91%
- Above 286M7%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8K
- 24u volume
- € 7,8K
KALSHIPoland rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+6.0pt82.3%
- Hike 1-25bps+2.0pt7.8%
- Cut 1-25bps-1.0pt5.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s: