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Verouderd7 feb 25, 23:43 UTC2 jan 28, 02:59 UTC
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By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.
- As CEO of multiple high-profile companies (Tesla, SpaceX, X) and one of the world's wealthiest individuals, Musk maintains a controversial public presence and has been involved in various political discussions.
- He has previously acknowledged increasing his security measures in response to threats.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- A credible attempt must meet at least one of the following criteria:
- Law enforcement confirms an assassination attempt
Open markten
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,750 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,4 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above-2.0pt97%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 512,5K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes56.4%
- No43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 284,9K
- 24u volume
- € 284,3K
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,800 or above99%
- $2,000 or above98%
- $2,480 or above98%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 257K
- 24u volume
- € 256,9K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt40.8%
- 200-219+3.0pt35.9%
- 220-239-3.5pt10.7%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $80,600 or above99%
- $80,200 or above99%
- $80,700 or above98%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,3K
- 24u volume
- € 227,2K
- Where will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Google market share this week
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.