Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 66.7%
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31
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd11 dec 25, 17:40 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX deploy an in-house turbine generator to a data center before Boom Supersonic?
Manifold MarketsAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketAI data center in space by ?
FutuurAI data center in space by December 31, 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2031, a space-based data center system meets ALL of:
- Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
- Functional compute: Actively processing workloads with data transfer to/from Earth
- Coherent system: Either a single structure or a distributed constellation capable of training a standard distributed transformer model (e.g., data-parallel or tensor-parallel training with gradient synchronization).
- Compute capacity should be no less than a terrestrial 100MW data center running H100s could achieve.
- Scale and duration: ≥100MW average power draw by all equipment necessary for operation of the data center (including GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, and cooling), sustained for ≥30 days continuous operation.
Open markten
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 622,7K
- 24u volume
- € 579,5K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+69.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-59.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-10.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Totaal volume
- € 108,2K
- 24u volume
- € 108,2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+72.0pt97%
- 23°C-8.5pt2%
- 24°C-0.8pt1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.0pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2031, a space-based data center system meets ALL of: