Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 74.9%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd29 dec 23, 01:15 UTC1 mrt 55, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Mars, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Mars must occur within a distance of no more than 1 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-3a9ca9fc5ea2
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-76d02d43aa2c
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-3fcd58236f90
Open markten
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 89,7K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Totaal volume
- € 101,9K
- 24u volume
- € 26,2K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,5K
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2055 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Mars, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.