Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingneither before EOY 2027 86%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd1 jan 26, 22:34 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Will there be a senator or house rep (delegates and non voting members count) that affiliates with the greens or libertarians before EOY 2027? If so, what happens first? If happens on same day, resolves 50/50.
- If neither happens before EOY 2027, resolve to that.
- For this market, affiliation with any green or libertarian party location division counts.
- So if they decide to affiliate with the Alaskan Libertarian party, that would count as liberterian.
- Must be that party at time of swearing in, or if they change to it during the term, that’s fine.
- Prior affiliation doesn’t count.
