Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMore Authoritarian 66.3%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd11 apr 26, 16:56 UTC31 mrt 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (the named outcome), down (the named outcome), or stays flat (the named outcome) relative to its score in the previous year.
- If the official report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari (this question)
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
- 🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 714,8K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 295,4K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst More Authoritarian op 66% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (the named outcome), down (the named outcome), or stays flat (the named outcome) relative to its score in the previous year.