Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 60%
Voorspellers
74
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd23 feb 24, 20:37 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegels
[image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.
- To address survivorship bias, if the musical never happens, I will ask the creators why not.
- If they say that they cancelled it because it was going to be too hard to make it any good, I will resolve NO.
- If it was shelved for any other reason, I will resolve N/A. THE FINE PRINT:
- When summing results of multiple polls I will weigh the two equally, not in proportion to # of respondents.
Open markten
MusicKALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Choosin' Texas81.5%
- Sunflower5%
- Dai Dai3.4%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 15,4K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)
- Above 13.9M99%
- Above 14M99%
- Above 13.7M99%
+28 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 13,8K
- 24u volume
- € 13,8K
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip12%
- Parvati5%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)1%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 12,2K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWestside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Above 65K99%
- Above 10K99%
- Above 25K99%
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- Totaal volume
- € 54,1K
- 24u volume
- € 8,2K
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- Garth Brooks+27.0pt94%
- Jason Aldean25%
- Megan Moroney16%
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- € 11,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWho Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
- Blues Traveler89%
- Widespread Panic88%
- The String Cheese Incident+39.0pt86%
+32 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,7K
- Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales
- Drake: Highest daily view count in September 2026
- Top artist on Spotify in 2026?
- #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18)
- #2 Spotify Song 2026
- #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 26, 2026?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
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- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Unsong musical be good??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 60% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Unsong musical be good? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Unsong musical be good? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Unsong musical be good? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.