Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 58.3%
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Verouderd10 aug 25, 22:09 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.
- If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES.
- A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO.
- If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
- Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-secures-strategic-transit-corridor-armenia-azerbaijan-peace-deal-2025-08-07/
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 58% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.