Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffGeopolitiek5d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd3 sep 25, 19:19 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
KalshiRegels
This market resolves Yes if the Trump administration deploys any military assets such as the National Guard or the Marine Corps to the city of Los Angeles, California, before November 4th 2026.
- Although there is no legal process for federalizing the police outside of Washington, DC, if the Trump administration for example successfully commandeers the LAPD, this will also be considered sufficient for a Yes as the spirit of the market is about armed federal takeovers of US cities.
- Normal logistical movement of the military throughout the country does not count.
- Active service members must be in the streets, on camera, or otherwise uncontroversially described by a major news outlet as deployed in LA in excess of what is normal, ie. a small military presence at a major airport on Christmas in line with past Homeland Security activity would not be sufficient.
- It is likely that Trump will be loudly and clearly declaring any such actions, so this market will probably have a clear resolution.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.