Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 55.9%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd17 mrt 25, 18:05 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
- Only closing prices will be considered.
- For example:
- The S&P 500 current closing ATH is 6,144.15.
- If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
- If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
Open markten
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.7pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 91K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,6 mln.
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down75.3%
- Up24.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,4K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 31,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 56% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2039 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.