Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
One-OffMacro en economieManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 17:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.1%
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd2 dec 23, 02:48 UTC1 jan 51, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the south korean fertility rate increase in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMulti-market for Total Fertility Rate in each country in 2050 among HS grad women (x25)
Manifold MarketsWill South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiWho will win the 2027 South Korean presidential election?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 26?
PolymarketRegels
This question refers to the area held currently (12/1/2023) by the South Korean state.
- By "total fertility rate" I mean "children born per woman." If advances in technology make that statistic meaningless (e.g., artificial wombs are created) AND most reputable sources switch to tracking "children born per person" or some variant instead, I will also resolve this question to "yes" if "children born per person" exceeds 1.
- I will use the CIA world factbook (or other authoritative source, pending agreement in comments) to determine resolution.
- https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/about/archives/2021/field/total-fertility-rate/country-comparison