Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 90%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jun 26, 01:32 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
Manifold MarketsDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurIn 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the seasonally adjusted U.S. Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) drops below 61.5% (i.e., is reported as 61.4% or lower) for any monthly reporting period in the calendar year 2026 (January 2026 through December 2026).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly "Employment Situation" report.
- Specifically, this is the seasonally adjusted series LNS11300000, which can also be tracked on FRED under the series name CIVPART.
- Revisions: The market will resolve based on the values published for each month of 2026 as of the release of the December 2026 data (typically published in early January 2027), including any retroactive revisions to the 2026 months published up to that date.
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,4K
- 24u volume
- € 51K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 17,9K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 16,9K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44K
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Totaal volume
- € 893,7K
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 90% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria