Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?
One-OffUS PoliticsRegelgevingTrade Policy2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 58.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
27 sep 24, 20:37 UTC22 jan 29, 06:59 UTC
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Will the Jones Act be repealed?
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KalshiRegels
The Jones Act requires that cabotage within the US happen on US-built and US-flagged vessels.
- Will it be repealed or significantly loosened with respect to this provision by 2028-01-21?
- At a minimum, this requires a process by which a non-US-built vessel could transport goods directly between US ports.
- I will not trade on this question until there has been time to clarify resolution criteria.
- Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A waiver alone is not sufficient for YES resolution, as the question requires a change to the law itself.
- However, a broad 'temporary' waiver that never ends could qualify as a functional repeal even if the law remains on the books.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 59% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency? wordt naar verwachting op 22 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Jones Act requires that cabotage within the US happen on US-built and US-flagged vessels.