Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
18.7 ptn (24u)CryptoOne-OffPolitiekRegelgevingGeopolitiek13jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%+18.7ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+18.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd1 nov 26, 08:19 UTC31 dec 39, 11:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.