Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 55%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd3 apr 23, 04:53 UTC3 feb 27, 00:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAtpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
Robinhood (Rothera)BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRegels
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Open markten
ExchangeROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,6 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 459,8K
- 24u volume
- € 459,8K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 123,6K
- 24u volume
- € 384,9K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 161,7K
- 24u volume
- € 158,1K
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? afgewikkeld?
- Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? wordt naar verwachting op 3 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.