Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 51.7%
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd7 sep 23, 13:16 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.
- First mention: from this day forward
- Update 2026-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A mention citing Manifold's odds or data (e.g., "Prediction site Manifold Markets says that the odds of [event] happening are %x") will resolve as YES (Positive), as it provides credibility to the site.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? afgewikkeld?
- Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.