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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jan 24, 18:51 UTC22 feb 29, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiRegels
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 114,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 185,9 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- Iowa Senate winner?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 59% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? wordt naar verwachting op 22 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.