Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (46.3%)
Afgewikkeld: 19 aug 2026, 08:24
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Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 53.7%
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21
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd12 aug 26, 4:5518 aug 26, 23:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes46.3%
No53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Regels
A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.
- Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
- Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska
