Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 94.7%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 26 minuten geleden
2 jul 24, 16:47 UTC1 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the average Global Temperature in 2026 be greater than 1.38 C (2.48 F) above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.0 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExAverage global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
FutuurWill the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
- resolves to 50% in case of a tie.
