Zal de marktkapitalisatie van Tesla (TSLA) vóór einde 2035 US$8,6 biljoen bereiken?
AandelenCustomTechBedrijfsactiesBedrijfsleven9j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.4%
Voorspellers
14
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd5 sep 25, 13:03 UTC30 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
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Regels
This is the valuation that triggers the maximum bonus for Musk in the next 10 years (US$1.03-trillion).
- What are the odds it is reached?
- Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on total return for a TSLA shareholder (dividends reinvested), not simply Tesla's nominal market cap.
- The target is equivalent to achieving 8.6/1.23 times the current share price (buying at $392.65 today).
- Key scenarios for edge cases:
- New share issuance: Only per-share value is tracked; dilution from new shares does not count toward the $8.6T target
