Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?
TechQuarterly11mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 73.5%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jul 26, 14:01 UTC30 sep 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Tesla begins delivering production vehicles equipped with its next-generation "AI 5" (also known as "Hardware 5" or "HW5") computer to retail customers on or before September 30, 2027 (the end of Q3 2027).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key details and rules:
- Definition of "AI 5": The computer must be explicitly designated by Tesla as "AI 5," "Hardware 5," or "HW5", or similarly branded as a major improvement.
- Upgraded versions of older hardware, such as "AI 4.1" or "AI 4+", do not satisfy this requirement.
