Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
One-OffTech3mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 79.9%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:22 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.
- They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.
- Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
- Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve YES until the service has a larger number of cars operating in the area.
- A small pilot program where most hail attempts result in a safety driver does not meet the resolution requirements for an autonomous service.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, wait times must stay under 20 minutes over a practically broad area to count as the service being available.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 802,6K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Totaal volume
- € 736,5K
- 24u volume
- € 585,6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.