Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 71%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd14 apr 26, 16:25 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding ownership stakes:
- 50% or more ownership by SpaceX of Tesla qualifies as a merger/acquisition
- A small investment does not qualify
- A large but sub-50% stake would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis
