Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 62.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd14 apr 26, 16:25 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegels
Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding ownership stakes:
- 50% or more ownership by SpaceX of Tesla qualifies as a merger/acquisition
- A small investment does not qualify
- A large but sub-50% stake would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis
Open markten
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 85,3K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,9K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 21,2K
- 24u volume
- € 20,3K
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 62% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.