Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 55%
Voorspellers
52
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd28 dec 23, 22:52 UTC1 jan 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
There are strong trends in the price of data storage devices:
- https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historical-cost-of-computer-memory-and-storage
- https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-cost-per-gigabyte/
- People have speculated that if the current trends persists the price per TB of SSDs will become cheaper than HDDs by 2030: https://www.reddit.com/r/DataHoarder/comments/17sljc1/as_requested_an_improved_chart_of_ssd_vs_hdd/?ref=share&ref_source=link
- This market closes on or before 1st of January 2031.
- The result will be YES if there is a period of at least 1 month where the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the commercially available SSDs is cheaper than the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the HDDs: https://diskprices.com/?locale=us&condition=new&disk_types=external_hdd,external_hdd25,internal_hdd,internal_hdd25,internal_sshd,internal_sas,external_ssd,internal_ssd,m2_ssd,m2_nvme,u2