Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
PolitiekOne-OffMisdaad en justitieCryptoVerkiezingRegelgeving5dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd4 nov 23, 22:31 UTC1 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsSam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
Manifold MarketsComey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
KalshiWill SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing.
- Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
