Will Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 2026Amerikaanse politiekVerkiezing29d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.1%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd25 okt 26, 18:01 UTC30 nov 26, 11:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins a majority of seats (at least 218 seats) in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections.
- Resolution will be determined once all race results are officially certified or when major decision desks (e.g., AP News, Decision Desk HQ) project a Republican majority.
- If Democrats or any other coalition win 218 or more seats, this market resolves to NO.
- Note on wording: Subjective terms in the title such as "surprisingly" are disregarded for resolution; the market resolves strictly on whether Republicans retain or win control of the House.
- The 2026 United States midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with all 435 voting seats in the House of Representatives on the ballot.