Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIn Office 70.8%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd15 jul 26, 14:19 UTC4 nov 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was caused by his death.
- the named outcome: Donald Trump is no longer the named outcome, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.
