Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 74.7%
Voorspellers
177
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd3 okt 23, 03:22 UTC1 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will prediction markets become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?
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Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.