Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 78%
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd8 mei 25, 20:24 UTC1 jan 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if anyone gifts Pope Leo XIV Deltarune, in any way comparable to how MatPat gifted Pope Francis Undertale, by January 1st 2030.
- This could be a gift code, a box of the game, or anything else which could reasonably be called gifting the pope Deltarune.
- For this to count, this must either be a gift which the Pope acknowledges in some form, or is otherwise in the audience for.
- That is to say, someone online can't just say they bought the Holy Father a copy of Deltarune that he's free to claim, or that they emailed it to him, or anything like that.
- This market will resolve YES very leniently, as long as it's in the spirit of the market.