Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.8%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd21 okt 26, 11:53 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by which date?
PolymarketDid OpenAI "independently discover" php2shell by scanning chats of security researchers?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the impacts of php2shell in next 6 months
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
This market resolves YES if there is credible legacy media reporting that CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell' abuse leads to the death of at least two people.
- Examples: A hospital is hacked and life support systems are shut down.
- Industrial equipment is breached, causing an explosion that kills workers
- Weapons system breached, leading to a munitions explosion causing loss of life.
- Basically, if a legacy media org reports this exploit causes two people to die, this market resolves YES.