Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.5%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd14 jan 26, 14:29 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be impeached?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth be impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- Pete Hegseth is the 29th United States Secretary of Defense since 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Hegseth is impeached by the House of Representatives by December 31, 2027.
- Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records and news reports from major outlets confirming passage of articles of impeachment.
- Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-Mich.) introduced articles of impeachment accusing Hegseth of "Murder and Conspiracy to Murder and Reckless and Unlawful Mishandling of Classified Information." The charges relate to military strikes against an alleged narco-boat off the Venezuelan coast on September 2, followed by a second strike that killed survivors of the initial attack, and Hegseth's sharing of real-time information on American troops' movements in a group chat that included The Atlantic's editor-in-chief, discussing strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen.