Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffAmerikaanse politiek1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 21:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.2%
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8
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd30 apr 26, 21:27 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post On today's panel with Bernie Sanders is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
