Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 60%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd4 mei 26, 20:35 UTC31 mei 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if the OMIE (Iberian wholesale market) Spain day-ahead time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2028 exceeds €65/MWh, as reported by OMIE in its annual market summary and on the OMIE day-ahead price dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing OMIE and Red Eléctrica time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
