Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.5%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jun 26, 04:21 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will New Glenn 7x2 ever fly again?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket leaves the ground under its own power before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Blue Origin's heavy-lift orbital rocket, New Glenn, has successfully flown three times:
- NG-1 on January 16, 2025
- NG-2 on November 13, 2025