Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 50.4%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden
15 apr 26, 04:17 UTC15 apr 36, 04:11 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiWill an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
PolymarketWill "Don't Sell Stock to Donate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).
- In other words, if Nectome succeeds as a business, and someone who bought the card for $20k in 2026 sells the discount to someone else for $60k or more, this resolves YES.
- If May 2036 comes along and I cannot find any evidence of such a sale, it resolves NO.
Open markten
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 351,4K
- 24u volume
- € 351,4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 50% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? afgewikkeld?
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? wordt naar verwachting op 15 april 2036 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES iff, by market close, a Nectome Cumulative Discount Card sold by Nectome in 2026 is verifiably sold on an aftermarket for at least 60,000 USD (or equivalent in some other currency at time of sale).