Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 80.9%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 55 minuten geleden
Vertraagd21 mei 23, 10:30 UTC1 jan 36, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Age of Mythology-based Flying Purple Hippos clan (https://flyingpurplehippos.org/) still exist by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill all in person comic con events go on throughout the 2020s?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegels
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.
